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ENG England National League South · Round 1 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng68%
Hòa19%
Đội khách thắng12%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng68% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Tài52% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Xỉu 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
68% / 19% / 12%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (12.5%)Cơ hội kép1X87.5%1.14
Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%Goals 2.5Tài52%1.92
Có 51% · Không 49%Cả hai đội ghi bàn51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–1
9.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócXỉu 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTorquay winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeDự đoánTỷ lệ công bằngReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Hòa19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Horsham win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Tài 52% · Xỉu 48%

Horsham0.94

Khách share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 51% · Không 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Số trận5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Điểm10

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Thắng probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalChủ nhà unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay thắng 68%,Hòa 19%,Horsham thắng 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Tài 2.5 52% · Current selection Tài