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ENG Anglicko - National League South · Round 1 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich68%
Remíza19%
Výhra hostí12%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich68% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac52% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Menej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
68% / 19% / 12%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (12.5%)Dvojitá šanca1X87.5%1.14
Viac 52% · Menej 48%Goals 2.5Viac52%1.92
Áno 51% · Nie 49%Oba tímy skórujúÁno51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–1
9.6 expected match cornersRohyMenej 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTorquay winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Remíza19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Horsham win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Domáci share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 52% · Menej 48%

Horsham0.94

Hostia share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitÁno 51% · Nie 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Odohrané5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Body10

SignalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Výhra probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalDomáci unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay výhra 68%,Remíza 19%,Horsham výhra 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Viac 2.5 52% · Current selection Viac