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ENG Англия - Национальная лига - Юг · Round 1 ·

Торки vs Хоршем

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев68%
Ничья19%
Победа гостей12%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев68% selection probability
Projected score2–1ТоркиХоршем
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Больше52% for the selected side
Обе забьютДа51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
68% / 19% / 12%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Хоршем win (12.5%)Двойной шанс1X87.5%1.14
Больше 52% · Меньше 48%Goals 2.5Больше52%1.92
Да 51% · Нет 49%Обе забьютДа51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
9.6 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapТорки winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomeПрогнозСправедливый коэффициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Торки win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Ничья19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Хоршем win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Торки1.80

Хозяева share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Больше 52% · Меньше 48%

Хоршем0.94

Гости share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 51% · Нет 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

Торки

2.00pts / match
Сыграно5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Баллы10

SignalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

Хоршем

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
ТоркиХоршем
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Торки signalХозяева unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Хоршем signalХозяева matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Торки vs Хоршем FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Торки выигрыш 68%,Ничья 19%,Хоршем выигрыш 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · ТБ 2.5 52% · Current selection Больше