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ENG Angleterre - National League South · Round 1 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domicile form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Extérieur form
Victoire à domicile68%
Nul19%
Victoire à l’extérieur12%
Full model forecastVictoire à domicileTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoire à domicile68% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Plus de52% for the selected side
Les deux équipes marquentOui51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Moins de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSélectionProbabilitéCote juste
68% / 19% / 12%Résultat du matchVictoire à domicile68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (12.5%)Double chance1X87.5%1.14
Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%Goals 2.5Plus de52%1.92
Oui 51% · Non 49%Les deux équipes marquentOui51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsScore exact2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornersMoins de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTorquay winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePronosticCote justeReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Nul19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Horsham win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Domicile share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Plus de 52% · Moins de 48%

Horsham0.94

Extérieur share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitOui 51% · Non 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domicile-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Joués5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

Extérieur-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Joués5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Gagné probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalDomicile unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalDomicile matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Nul probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoire à domicile · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay victoire 68%,Nul 19%,Horsham victoire 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Plus de 2.5 52% · Current selection Plus de