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ENG Anglia - National League South · Round 1 ·

Torquay vs Horsham

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.74 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde68%
Egal19%
Victorie oaspeți12%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 68% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde68% selection probability
Projected score2–1TorquayHorsham
Expected goals2.74Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Peste52% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51% for the selected side
Expected corners9.6Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
68% / 19% / 12%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde68%1.47
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Horsham win (12.5%)Șansă dublă1X87.5%1.14
Peste 52% · Sub 48%Goals 2.5Peste52%1.92
Da 51% · Nu 49%Ambele echipe marcheazăDa51%1.96
2.74 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
9.6 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapTorquay winDifference-1.1 pp
OutcomePredicțieCotă corectăReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Torquay win68%1.471.3069.1%-1.1 pp
Egal19%5.264.7518.9%+0.1 pp
Horsham win12%8.337.5012%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Torquay1.80

Gazde share of expected goals 65.7%

Total expected goals2.74Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Peste 52% · Sub 48%

Horsham0.94

Oaspeți share of expected goals 34.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 51% · Nu 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

Torquay

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

Horsham

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
68%
Câștig probability excluding draw
12%
10
Points from supplied form
4
1.80
Expected goals
0.94
TorquayHorsham
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Torquay signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Horsham signalGazde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk32% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Torquay vs Horsham FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 68% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Torquay câștig 68%,Egal 19%,Horsham câștig 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.74 · Peste 2.5 52% · Current selection Peste