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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · Round 22 ·

山東泰山 vs 天津津門虎

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝52%
25%
客勝23%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝52% selection probability
Projected score2–1山東泰山天津津門虎
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.557% for the selected side
雙方進球58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
52% / 25% / 23%比賽結果主勝52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 天津津門虎 win (22.7%)雙重機會1X77.3%1.29
大 57% · 小 43%Goals 2.557%1.75
是 58% · 否 42%雙方進球58%1.72
2.96 total expected goals正確比分2–1
9.9 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gap山東泰山 winDifference-0.6 pp
Outcome預測公平賠率Reference oddsNormalized marketDifference
山東泰山 win52%1.921.8052.6%-0.6 pp
25%4.003.8024.9%+0.1 pp
天津津門虎 win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

山東泰山1.77

主隊 share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: 57% · 43%

天津津門虎1.19

客隊 share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

山東泰山

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

客隊-context · form sequence

天津津門虎

2.40pts / match
5Wins4Drawn0Losses1積分12

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
贏 probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
山東泰山天津津門虎
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01山東泰山 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02天津津門虎 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

山東泰山 vs 天津津門虎 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

山東泰山 52%, 25%,天津津門虎 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · 大2.5 57% · Current selection