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CHN 中国 スーパーリーグ · Round 22 ·

山東泰山 vs 天津津門虎足球倶楽部

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利55%
引き分け24%
アウェイ勝利21%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利55% selection probability
Projected score2–1山東泰山天津津門虎足球倶楽部
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5オーバー57% for the selected side
両チーム得点はい58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
55% / 24% / 21%試合結果ホーム勝利55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 天津津門虎足球倶楽部 win (21.2%)ダブルチャンス1X78.8%1.27
オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%Goals 2.5オーバー57%1.75
はい 58% · いいえ 42%両チーム得点はい58%1.72
2.96 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
9.9 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gap天津津門虎足球倶楽部 winDifference+0.2 pp
Outcome予想フェアオッズReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
山東泰山 win55%1.821.7055.1%-0.1 pp
引き分け24%4.173.9024%0.0 pp
天津津門虎足球倶楽部 win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

山東泰山1.77

ホーム share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 57% · アンダー 43%

天津津門虎足球倶楽部1.19

アウェイ share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 58% · いいえ 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

山東泰山

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

天津津門虎足球倶楽部

2.40pts / match
試合数5Wins4Drawn0Losses1ポイント12

Signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
勝ち probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
山東泰山天津津門虎足球倶楽部
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01山東泰山 signalホーム matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02天津津門虎足球倶楽部 signalアウェイ unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

山東泰山 vs 天津津門虎足球倶楽部 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

山東泰山 勝ち 55%,引き分け 24%,天津津門虎足球倶楽部 勝ち 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · オーバー 2.5 57% · Current selection オーバー