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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg55%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
55% / 24% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win (21.2%)Doppelte Chance1X78.8%1.27
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapTianjin Jinmen Tigers winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shandong Taishan win55%1.821.7055.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.9024%0.0 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shandong Taishan1.77

Heim share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shandong Taishan signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tianjin Jinmen Tigers signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shandong Taishan Gewinn 55%,Unentschieden 24%,Tianjin Jinmen Tigers Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über