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CHN China Super League · Round 21 ·

Dalian Young Boy vs Liaoning Ironman

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.03 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg39%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg39% selection probability
Projected score2–1Dalian Young BoyLiaoning Ironman
Expected goals3.03Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
39% / 27% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.5%)Doppelte Chance1272.5%1.38
Über 58% · Unter 42%Goals 2.5Über58%1.72
Ja 61% · Nein 39%Beide Teams treffenJa61%1.64
3.03 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Dalian Young Boy win39%2.56
Unentschieden27%3.70
Liaoning Ironman win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dalian Young Boy1.62

Heim share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals3.03Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 58% · Unter 42%

Liaoning Ironman1.41

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 61% · Nein 39%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Dalian Young Boy

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Liaoning Ironman

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.62
Expected goals
1.41
Dalian Young BoyLiaoning Ironman
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dalian Young Boy signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Liaoning Ironman signalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Dalian Young Boy vs Liaoning Ironman FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dalian Young Boy Gewinn 39%,Unentschieden 27%,Liaoning Ironman Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.03 · Über 2.5 58% · Current selection Über