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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hazai form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Vendég form
Hazai győzelem52%
Döntetlen25%
Vendég győzelem23%
Full model forecastHazai győzelemTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHazai győzelem52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Felett57% for the selected side
Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Felett 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVálasztásValószínűségValós odds
52% / 25% / 23%Mérkőzés eredményeHazai győzelem52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win (22.7%)Dupla esély1X77.3%1.29
Felett 57% · Alatt 43%Goals 2.5Felett57%1.75
Igen 58% · Nem 42%Mindkét csapat szerez góltIgen58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsPontos eredmény2–1
9.9 expected match cornersSzögletekFelett 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapShandong Taishan winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeElőrejelzésValós oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shandong Taishan win52%1.921.8052.6%-0.6 pp
Döntetlen25%4.003.8024.9%+0.1 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shandong Taishan1.77

Hazai share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Felett 57% · Alatt 43%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.19

Vendég share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitIgen 58% · Nem 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hazai-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan

1.20pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Pontok6

SignalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

Vendég-context · form sequence

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

2.40pts / match
Lejátszott5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Pontok12

SignalVendég unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Nyert probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shandong Taishan signalHazai matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tianjin Jinmen Tigers signalVendég unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Döntetlen probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hazai győzelem · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shandong Taishan nyer 52%,Döntetlen 25%,Tianjin Jinmen Tigers nyer 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · 2.5 felett 57% · Current selection Felett