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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Shandong Taishan vs Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина52%
Равен25%
Победа за госта23%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 52% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина52% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shandong TaishanТянджън Жинмен Тайгърс
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над57% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
52% / 25% / 23%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина52%1.92
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс win (22.7%)Двоен шанс1X77.3%1.29
Над 57% · Под 43%Goals 2.5Над57%1.75
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
9.9 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin5.7%Largest probability gapShandong Taishan winDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shandong Taishan win52%1.921.8052.6%-0.6 pp
Равен25%4.003.8024.9%+0.1 pp
Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс win23%4.354.2022.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shandong Taishan1.77

Домакин share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 57% · Под 43%

Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс1.19

Гост share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс

2.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Точки12

SignalГост unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
52%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
23%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
Shandong TaishanТянджън Жинмен Тайгърс
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shandong Taishan signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс signalГост unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk48% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Shandong Taishan vs Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 52% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shandong Taishan печеливш 52%,Равен 25%,Тянджън Жинмен Тайгърс печеливш 23%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · Над 2.5 57% · Current selection Над