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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Ev Sahibi form
Projected score2–12.96 expected goals
Deplasman form
Ev sahibi kazanır55%
Beraberlik24%
Deplasman kazanır21%
Full model forecastEv sahibi kazanırTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callEv sahibi kazanır55% selection probability
Projected score2–1Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Expected goals2.96Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Üst57% for the selected side
Karşılıklı gol varEvet58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Üst 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeçimOlasılıkAdil oran
55% / 24% / 21%Maç sonucuEv sahibi kazanır55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win (21.2%)Çifte Şans1X78.8%1.27
Üst 57% · Alt 43%Goals 2.5Üst57%1.75
Evet 58% · Hayır 42%Karşılıklı gol varEvet58%1.72
2.96 total expected goalsDoğru skor2–1
9.9 expected match cornersKornerlerÜst 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.7%Largest probability gapTianjin Jinmen Tigers winDifference+0.2 pp
OutcomeTahminAdil oranReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Shandong Taishan win55%1.821.7055.1%-0.1 pp
Beraberlik24%4.173.9024%0.0 pp
Tianjin Jinmen Tigers win21%4.764.5020.8%+0.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Shandong Taishan1.77

Ev Sahibi share of expected goals 59.8%

Total expected goals2.96Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Üst 57% · Alt 43%

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers1.19

Deplasman share of expected goals 40.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitEvet 58% · Hayır 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Ev Sahibi-context · form sequence

Shandong Taishan

1.20pts / match
Oynanan5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puan6

SignalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

Deplasman-context · form sequence

Tianjin Jinmen Tigers

2.40pts / match
Oynanan5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Puan12

SignalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
55%
Kazanç probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
12
1.77
Expected goals
1.19
Shandong TaishanTianjin Jinmen Tigers
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Shandong Taishan signalEv Sahibi matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tianjin Jinmen Tigers signalDeplasman unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Beraberlik probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Shandong Taishan vs Tianjin Jinmen Tigers FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Ev sahibi kazanır · Projected score 2–1 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Shandong Taishan kazanç 55%,Beraberlik 24%,Tianjin Jinmen Tigers kazanç 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.96 · 2.5 Üst 57% · Current selection Üst