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CHN 中国 スーパーリーグ · Round 22 ·

重慶トングリャンロン vs 上海海港

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利34%
引き分け31%
アウェイ勝利35%
Full model forecastアウェイ勝利Tier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callアウェイ勝利35% selection probability
Projected score1–1重慶トングリャンロン上海海港
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0オーバー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
34% / 31% / 35%試合結果アウェイ勝利35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)ダブルチャンス1269%1.45
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 45% · いいえ 55%両チーム得点いいえ55%1.82
2.20 total expected goals正確なスコア1–1
10.0 expected match cornersコーナーオーバー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
重慶トングリャンロン win34%2.94
引き分け31%3.23
上海海港 win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

重慶トングリャンロン1.08

ホーム share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

上海海港1.12

アウェイ share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitはい 45% · いいえ 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

重慶トングリャンロン

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

上海海港

1.40pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn1Losses2ポイント7

Signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
勝ち probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
1.12
重慶トングリャンロン上海海港
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01重慶トングリャンロン signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02上海海港 signalホーム failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

重慶トングリャンロン vs 上海海港 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: アウェイ勝利 · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

重慶トングリャンロン 勝ち 34%,引き分け 31%,上海海港 勝ち 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー