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CHN China Super League · Round 22 ·

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Port F.C.

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score1–12.20 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local34%
Empate31%
Victoria visitante35%
Full model forecastVictoria visitanteTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria visitante35% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chongqing TonglianglongShanghai Port F.C.
Expected goals2.20Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Menos de62% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcanNo55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
34% / 31% / 35%Resultado del partidoVictoria visitante35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Doble Oportunidad1269%1.45
Más de 38% · Menos de 62%Goals 2.5Menos de62%1.61
Sí 45% · No 55%Ambos equipos marcanNo55%1.82
2.20 total expected goalsMarcador exacto1–1
10.0 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
Chongqing Tonglianglong win34%2.94
Empate31%3.23
Shanghai Port F.C. win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chongqing Tonglianglong1.08

Local share of expected goals 49.1%

Total expected goals2.20Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Más de 38% · Menos de 62%

Shanghai Port F.C.1.12

Visitante share of expected goals 50.9%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 45% · No 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

Chongqing Tonglianglong

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Shanghai Port F.C.

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Ganado probability excluding draw
35%
4
Points from supplied form
7
1.08
Expected goals
1.12
Chongqing TonglianglongShanghai Port F.C.
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chongqing Tonglianglong signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanghai Port F.C. signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Chongqing Tonglianglong vs Shanghai Port F.C. FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria visitante · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chongqing Tonglianglong ganada 34%,Empate 31%,Shanghai Port F.C. ganada 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.20 · Más de 2.5 38% · Current selection Menos de