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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

河南 vs 青島西海岸

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝46%
30%
客勝24%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝46% selection probability
Projected score1–1河南青島西海岸
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.561% for the selected side
雙方進球57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
46% / 30% / 24%比賽結果主勝46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes 青島西海岸 win (24.3%)雙重機會1X75.7%1.32
大 39% · 小 61%Goals 2.561%1.64
是 43% · 否 57%雙方進球57%1.75
2.25 total expected goals正確比分1–1
9.8 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
河南 win46%2.17
30%3.33
青島西海岸 win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

河南1.45

主隊 share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 39% · 61%

青島西海岸0.80

客隊 share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS split 43% · 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

河南

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

青島西海岸

2.00pts / match
5Wins3Drawn1Losses1積分10

Signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
贏 probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.45
Expected goals
0.80
河南青島西海岸
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01河南 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02青島西海岸 signal客隊 unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

河南 vs 青島西海岸 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

河南 46%, 30%,青島西海岸 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · 大2.5 39% · Current selection