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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · Round 22 ·

青島海牛 vs 上海申花

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.63 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝38%
26%
客勝37%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝38% selection probability
Projected score2–2青島海牛上海申花
Expected goals3.63初盤 match profile
Goals 2.570% for the selected side
雙方進球70% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
38% / 26% / 37%比賽結果主勝38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)雙重機會1274.4%1.34
大 70% · 小 30%Goals 2.570%1.43
是 70% · 否 30%雙方進球70%1.43
3.63 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.2 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
青島海牛 win38%2.63
26%3.85
上海申花 win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

青島海牛1.83

主隊 share of expected goals 50.4%

Total expected goals3.63初盤

Dedicated goals model: 70% · 30%

上海申花1.80

客隊 share of expected goals 49.6%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 70% · 30%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

青島海牛

0.20pts / match
5Wins0Drawn1Losses4積分1

Signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

客隊-context · form sequence

上海申花

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
贏 probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.83
Expected goals
1.80
青島海牛上海申花
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01青島海牛 signal主隊 failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02上海申花 signal客隊 matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

青島海牛 vs 上海申花 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

青島海牛 38%, 26%,上海申花 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.63 · 大2.5 70% · Current selection