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CHN 中國超級聯賽 · Round 21 ·

雲南玉昆 vs 成都蓉城

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝30%
25%
客勝45%
Full model forecast客勝Tier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call客勝45% selection probability
Projected score2–2雲南玉昆成都蓉城
Expected goals3.62初盤 match profile
Goals 2.570% for the selected side
雙方進球69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0大 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
30% / 25% / 45%比賽結果客勝45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)雙勝彩1274.7%1.34
大 70% · 小 30%Goals 2.570%1.43
是 69% · 否 31%雙方進球69%1.45
3.62 total expected goals正確比分2–2
10.0 expected match corners角球大 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
雲南玉昆 win30%3.33
25%4.00
成都蓉城 win45%2.22

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

雲南玉昆1.54

主隊 share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals3.62初盤

Dedicated goals model: 70% · 30%

成都蓉城2.08

客隊 share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · 31%Match profile初盤
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

雲南玉昆

1.40pts / match
5Wins2Drawn1Losses2積分7

Signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

客隊-context · form sequence

成都蓉城

1.40pts / match
5Wins1Drawn4Losses0積分7

Signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
贏 probability excluding draw
45%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
2.08
雲南玉昆成都蓉城
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01雲南玉昆 signal主隊 matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02成都蓉城 signal主隊 unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

雲南玉昆 vs 成都蓉城 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 客勝 · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

雲南玉昆 30%, 25%,成都蓉城 45%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · 大2.5 70% · Current selection