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CHN China Super League · Round 21 ·

Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng30%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng44%
Full model forecastĐội khách thắngTier A · 44% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callĐội khách thắng44% selection probability
Projected score2–2Yunnan YukunChengdu Rongcheng
Expected goals3.62Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài70% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
30% / 25% / 44%Kết quả trận đấuĐội khách thắng44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.3%)Cơ hội kép1274.7%1.34
Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%Goals 2.5Tài70%1.43
Có 69% · Không 31%Cả hai đội ghi bàn69%1.45
3.62 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
10.0 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
Yunnan Yukun win30%3.33
Hòa25%4.00
Chengdu Rongcheng win44%2.27

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Yunnan Yukun1.54

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 42.5%

Total expected goals3.62Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 70% · Xỉu 30%

Chengdu Rongcheng2.08

Khách share of expected goals 57.5%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 69% · Không 31%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

Yunnan Yukun

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

Khách-context · form sequence

Chengdu Rongcheng

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn4Losses0Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Thắng probability excluding draw
44%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.54
Expected goals
2.08
Yunnan YukunChengdu Rongcheng
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Yunnan Yukun signalChủ nhà matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Chengdu Rongcheng signalChủ nhà unbeaten in 3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Yunnan Yukun vs Chengdu Rongcheng FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Đội khách thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Yunnan Yukun thắng 30%,Hòa 25%,Chengdu Rongcheng thắng 44%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Tài 2.5 70% · Current selection Tài