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CHN China Super League · Round 21 ·

Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.64 expected goals
Borte form
Hjemmeseier37%
Uavgjort26%
Borteseier37%
Full model forecastHjemmeseierTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmeseier37% selection probability
Projected score2–2Qingdao HainiuShanghai Shenhua
Expected goals3.64Åpning match profile
Goals 2.5Over70% for the selected side
Begge lag scorerJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSannsynlighetRettferdig odds
37% / 26% / 37%KampresultatHjemmeseier37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.7%)Dobbel sjanse1274.3%1.35
Over 70% · Under 30%Goals 2.5Over70%1.43
Ja 71% · Nei 29%Begge lag scorerJa71%1.41
3.64 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRettferdig odds
Qingdao Hainiu win37%2.70
Uavgjort26%3.85
Shanghai Shenhua win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Qingdao Hainiu1.82

Hjemme share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals3.64Åpning

Dedicated goals model: Over 70% · Under 30%

Shanghai Shenhua1.82

Borte share of expected goals 50%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nei 29%Match profileÅpning
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Qingdao Hainiu

0.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Poeng1

SignalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

Borte-context · form sequence

Shanghai Shenhua

1.20pts / match
Spilt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poeng6

SignalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vunnet probability excluding draw
37%
1
Points from supplied form
6
1.82
Expected goals
1.82
Qingdao HainiuShanghai Shenhua
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Qingdao Hainiu signalHjemme failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Shanghai Shenhua signalBorte matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uavgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Qingdao Hainiu vs Shanghai Shenhua FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmeseier · Projected score 2–2 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Qingdao Hainiu vunnet 37%,Uavgjort 26%,Shanghai Shenhua vunnet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.64 · Over 2.5 70% · Current selection Over