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CHN China Super League · Fixture ·

Henan vs Qingdao West Coast

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Away form
Home win46%
Draw30%
Away win24%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win46% selection probability
Projected score1–1HenanQingdao West Coast
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
46% / 30% / 24%Match resultHome win46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qingdao West Coast win (24.3%)Double chance1X75.7%1.32
Over 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Yes 43% · No 57%Both teams scoreNo57%1.75
2.25 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Henan win46%2.17
Draw30%3.33
Qingdao West Coast win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Henan1.45

Home share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 39% · Under 61%

Qingdao West Coast0.80

Away share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 43% · No 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

Henan

1.40pts / match
Played5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Points7

SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

Qingdao West Coast

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalAway unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Win probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.45
Expected goals
0.80
HenanQingdao West Coast
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Henan signalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qingdao West Coast signalAway unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Henan vs Qingdao West Coast FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Henan win 46%,Draw 30%,Qingdao West Coast win 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Over 2.5 39% · Current selection Under