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CHN China Super League · Match ·

Henan vs Qingdao West Coast

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.25 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger46%
Oavgjort30%
Bortaseger24%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger46% selection probability
Projected score1–1HenanQingdao West Coast
Expected goals2.25Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under61% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
46% / 30% / 24%MatchresultatHemmaseger46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Qingdao West Coast win (24.3%)Dubbelchans1X75.7%1.32
Över 39% · Under 61%Goals 2.5Under61%1.64
Ja 43% · Nej 57%Båda lagen gör målNej57%1.75
2.25 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
Henan win46%2.17
Oavgjort30%3.33
Qingdao West Coast win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Henan1.45

Hemma share of expected goals 64.4%

Total expected goals2.25Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 39% · Under 61%

Qingdao West Coast0.80

Borta share of expected goals 35.6%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nej 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Henan

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Qingdao West Coast

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalBorta unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
24%
7
Points from supplied form
10
1.45
Expected goals
0.80
HenanQingdao West Coast
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Henan signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Qingdao West Coast signalBorta unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Henan vs Qingdao West Coast FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Henan vunnen 46%,Oavgjort 30%,Qingdao West Coast vunnen 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.25 · Över 2.5 39% · Current selection Under