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SRB Serbien - Super Liga · Match ·

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Macva Sabac

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger51%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger20%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Novi PazarFK Macva Sabac
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
51% / 29% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Macva Sabac win (19.6%)Dubbelchans1X80.4%1.24
Över 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 38% · Nej 62%Båda lagen gör målNej62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
8.7 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
FK Novi Pazar win51%1.96
Oavgjort29%3.45
FK Macva Sabac win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Novi Pazar1.58

Hemma share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 38% · Under 62%

FK Macva Sabac0.64

Borta share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 38% · Nej 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

FK Macva Sabac

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
FK Novi PazarFK Macva Sabac
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Novi Pazar signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Macva Sabac signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Macva Sabac FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Novi Pazar vunnen 51%,Oavgjort 29%,FK Macva Sabac vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Över 2.5 38% · Current selection Under