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SRB セルビア スーペルリーガ · 試合 ·

FKノビパザル vs FKマチュヴァシャバツ

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

ホーム form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
アウェイ form
ホーム勝利51%
引き分け29%
アウェイ勝利20%
Full model forecastホーム勝利Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callホーム勝利51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FKノビパザルFKマチュヴァシャバツ
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5アンダー62% for the selected side
両チーム得点いいえ62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7アンダー 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market選択確率フェアオッズ
51% / 29% / 20%試合結果ホーム勝利51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FKマチュヴァシャバツ win (19.6%)ダブルチャンス1X80.4%1.24
オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%Goals 2.5アンダー62%1.61
はい 38% · いいえ 62%両チーム得点いいえ62%1.61
2.22 total expected goals正確なスコア2–1
8.7 expected match cornersコーナーアンダー 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

いいえ snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityフェアオッズ
FKノビパザル win51%1.96
引き分け29%3.45
FKマチュヴァシャバツ win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FKノビパザル1.58

ホーム share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: オーバー 38% · アンダー 62%

FKマチュヴァシャバツ0.64

アウェイ share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitはい 38% · いいえ 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

ホーム-context · form sequence

FKノビパザル

0.80pts / match
試合数5Wins1Drawn1Losses3ポイント4

Signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

アウェイ-context · form sequence

FKマチュヴァシャバツ

1.20pts / match
試合数5Wins2Drawn0Losses3ポイント6

Signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
勝ち probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
FKノビパザルFKマチュヴァシャバツ
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FKノビパザル signalホーム matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FKマチュヴァシャバツ signalホーム clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 引き分け probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FKノビパザル vs FKマチュヴァシャバツ FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: ホーム勝利 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FKノビパザル 勝ち 51%,引き分け 29%,FKマチュヴァシャバツ 勝ち 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · オーバー 2.5 38% · Current selection アンダー