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SRB Сърбия - Суперлига · Мач ·

ФК Нови Пазар vs ФК Мачва Шабац

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина51%
Равен29%
Победа за госта20%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК Нови ПазарФК Мачва Шабац
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Под62% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатНе62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Под 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
51% / 29% / 20%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Мачва Шабац win (19.6%)Двоен шанс1X80.4%1.24
Над 38% · Под 62%Goals 2.5Под62%1.61
Да 38% · Не 62%И двата отбора да отбележатНе62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
8.7 expected match cornersКорнериПод 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Не snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедлив коефициент
ФК Нови Пазар win51%1.96
Равен29%3.45
ФК Мачва Шабац win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Нови Пазар1.58

Домакин share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Над 38% · Под 62%

ФК Мачва Шабац0.64

Гост share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Не 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

ФК Нови Пазар

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФК Мачва Шабац

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
ФК Нови ПазарФК Мачва Шабац
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Нови Пазар signalДомакин matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Мачва Шабац signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ФК Нови Пазар vs ФК Мачва Шабац FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Нови Пазар печеливш 51%,Равен 29%,ФК Мачва Шабац печеливш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Над 2.5 38% · Current selection Под