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SRB Serbia superliiga · Mäng ·

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Mačva Šabac

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Kodu form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Võõras form
Koduvõit51%
Viik29%
Võõrsilvõit20%
Full model forecastKoduvõitTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callKoduvõit51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Novi PazarFK Mačva Šabac
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Alla62% for the selected side
Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Alla 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValikTõenäosusÕiglane koefitsient
51% / 29% / 20%Mängu tulemusKoduvõit51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Mačva Šabac win (19.6%)Topeltvõimalus1X80.4%1.24
Üle 38% · Alla 62%Goals 2.5Alla62%1.61
Jah 38% · Ei 62%Mõlemad meeskonnad löövad väravaEi62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsTäpne skoor2–1
8.7 expected match cornersNurgalöögidAlla 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Ei snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityÕiglane koefitsient
FK Novi Pazar win51%1.96
Viik29%3.45
FK Mačva Šabac win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Novi Pazar1.58

Kodu share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Üle 38% · Alla 62%

FK Mačva Šabac0.64

Võõras share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJah 38% · Ei 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Kodu-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Mängitud5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punktid4

SignalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

Võõras-context · form sequence

FK Mačva Šabac

1.20pts / match
Mängitud5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punktid6

SignalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Võit probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
FK Novi PazarFK Mačva Šabac
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Novi Pazar signalKodu matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Mačva Šabac signalKodu clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Viik probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Mačva Šabac FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Koduvõit · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Novi Pazar võit 51%,Viik 29%,FK Mačva Šabac võit 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Üle 2.5 38% · Current selection Alla