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SRB Сербия - Суперлига · Матч ·

ФК Нови-Пазар vs ФК Мачва Шабац

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Хозяева form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Гости form
Победа хозяев51%
Ничья29%
Победа гостей20%
Full model forecastПобеда хозяевTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда хозяев51% selection probability
Projected score2–1ФК Нови-ПазарФК Мачва Шабац
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Меньше62% for the selected side
Обе забьютНет62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Меньше 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketВыборВероятностьСправедливый коэффициент
51% / 29% / 20%Исход матчаПобеда хозяев51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes ФК Мачва Шабац win (19.6%)Двойной шанс1X80.4%1.24
Больше 38% · Меньше 62%Goals 2.5Меньше62%1.61
Да 38% · Нет 62%Обе забьютНет62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsТочный счёт2–1
8.7 expected match cornersУгловыеМеньше 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Нет snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityСправедливый коэффициент
ФК Нови-Пазар win51%1.96
Ничья29%3.45
ФК Мачва Шабац win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

ФК Нови-Пазар1.58

Хозяева share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Больше 38% · Меньше 62%

ФК Мачва Шабац0.64

Гости share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 38% · Нет 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Хозяева-context · form sequence

ФК Нови-Пазар

0.80pts / match
Сыграно5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Баллы4

SignalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

Гости-context · form sequence

ФК Мачва Шабац

1.20pts / match
Сыграно5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Баллы6

SignalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Выигрыш probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
ФК Нови-ПазарФК Мачва Шабац
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01ФК Нови-Пазар signalХозяева matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФК Мачва Шабац signalХозяева clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ничья probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

ФК Нови-Пазар vs ФК Мачва Шабац FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа хозяев · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

ФК Нови-Пазар выигрыш 51%,Ничья 29%,ФК Мачва Шабац выигрыш 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · ТБ 2.5 38% · Current selection Меньше