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SRB Serbia - Super Liga · Meci ·

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Macva Sabac

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde51%
Egal29%
Victorie oaspeți20%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK Novi PazarFK Macva Sabac
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Sub62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7Sub 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
51% / 29% / 20%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK Macva Sabac win (19.6%)Șansă dublă1X80.4%1.24
Peste 38% · Sub 62%Goals 2.5Sub62%1.61
Da 38% · Nu 62%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu62%1.61
2.22 total expected goalsScor corect2–1
8.7 expected match cornersCornereSub 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
FK Novi Pazar win51%1.96
Egal29%3.45
FK Macva Sabac win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Novi Pazar1.58

Gazde share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Peste 38% · Sub 62%

FK Macva Sabac0.64

Oaspeți share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitDa 38% · Nu 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

FK Novi Pazar

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

FK Macva Sabac

1.20pts / match
Jucate5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Puncte6

SignalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Câștig probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
FK Novi PazarFK Macva Sabac
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Novi Pazar signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK Macva Sabac signalGazde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK Novi Pazar vs FK Macva Sabac FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Novi Pazar câștig 51%,Egal 29%,FK Macva Sabac câștig 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Peste 2.5 38% · Current selection Sub