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SRB 塞爾維亞超級聯賽 · 比賽 ·

FK 諾維帕紮爾 vs FK馬瑟瓦沙巴

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

主隊 form
Projected score2–12.22 expected goals
客隊 form
主勝51%
29%
客勝20%
Full model forecast主勝Tier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary call主勝51% selection probability
Projected score2–1FK 諾維帕紮爾FK馬瑟瓦沙巴
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.562% for the selected side
雙方進球62% for the selected side
Expected corners8.7小 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

Market投注機率公平賠率
51% / 29% / 20%比賽結果主勝51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes FK馬瑟瓦沙巴 win (19.6%)雙重機會1X80.4%1.24
大 38% · 小 62%Goals 2.562%1.61
是 38% · 否 62%雙方進球62%1.61
2.22 total expected goals正確比分2–1
8.7 expected match corners角球小 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

否 snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probability公平賠率
FK 諾維帕紮爾 win51%1.96
29%3.45
FK馬瑟瓦沙巴 win20%5.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK 諾維帕紮爾1.58

主隊 share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: 38% · 62%

FK馬瑟瓦沙巴0.64

客隊 share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 38% · 62%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

主隊-context · form sequence

FK 諾維帕紮爾

0.80pts / match
5Wins1Drawn1Losses3積分4

Signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

客隊-context · form sequence

FK馬瑟瓦沙巴

1.20pts / match
5Wins2Drawn0Losses3積分6

Signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
贏 probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.58
Expected goals
0.64
FK 諾維帕紮爾FK馬瑟瓦沙巴
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK 諾維帕紮爾 signal主隊 matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FK馬瑟瓦沙巴 signal主隊 clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. 平 probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

FK 諾維帕紮爾 vs FK馬瑟瓦沙巴 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: 主勝 · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK 諾維帕紮爾 51%, 29%,FK馬瑟瓦沙巴 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · 大2.5 38% · Current selection