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SRB Serbien - Super Liga · Match ·

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger43%
Oavgjort32%
Bortaseger25%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under69% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
43% / 32% / 25%MatchresultatHemmaseger43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mladost Lucani win (24.7%)Dubbelchans1X75.3%1.33
Över 31% · Under 69%Goals 2.5Under69%1.45
Ja 37% · Nej 63%Båda lagen gör målNej63%1.59
1.96 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
8.8 expected match cornersHörnorUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
IMT Novi Belgrade win43%2.33
Oavgjort32%3.13
Mladost Lucani win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IMT Novi Belgrade1.24

Hemma share of expected goals 63.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 31% · Under 69%

Mladost Lucani0.72

Borta share of expected goals 36.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 37% · Nej 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

1.40pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Poäng7

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

Borta-context · form sequence

Mladost Lucani

1.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Poäng9

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
0.72
IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IMT Novi Belgrade signalHemma matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mladost Lucani signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IMT Novi Belgrade vunnen 43%,Oavgjort 32%,Mladost Lucani vunnen 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Över 2.5 31% · Current selection Under