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SRB Sérvia - SuperLiga · Partida ·

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa43%
Empate32%
Vitória visitante25%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Abaixo69% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Abaixo 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
43% / 32% / 25%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mladost Lucani win (24.7%)Dupla Chance1X75.3%1.33
Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%Goals 2.5Abaixo69%1.45
Sim 37% · Não 63%Ambas as equipes marcamNão63%1.59
1.96 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
8.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAbaixo 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
IMT Novi Belgrade win43%2.33
Empate32%3.13
Mladost Lucani win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IMT Novi Belgrade1.24

Mandante share of expected goals 63.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Acima 31% · Abaixo 69%

Mladost Lucani0.72

Visitante share of expected goals 36.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 37% · Não 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

1.40pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Pontos7

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Mladost Lucani

1.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Pontos9

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
0.72
IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IMT Novi Belgrade signalMandante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mladost Lucani signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IMT Novi Belgrade ganhou 43%,Empate 32%,Mladost Lucani ganhou 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Acima 2.5 31% · Current selection Abaixo