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SRB Serbia - Super Liga · Mecz ·

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score1–11.96 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy43%
Remis32%
Wygrana gości25%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy43% selection probability
Projected score1–1IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Expected goals1.96Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Poniżej69% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląNie63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.8Poniżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
43% / 32% / 25%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mladost Lucani win (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1X75.3%1.33
Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%Goals 2.5Poniżej69%1.45
Tak 37% · Nie 63%Obie drużyny strzeląNie63%1.59
1.96 total expected goalsDokładny wynik1–1
8.8 expected match cornersRożnePoniżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
IMT Novi Belgrade win43%2.33
Remis32%3.13
Mladost Lucani win25%4.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IMT Novi Belgrade1.24

Gospodarze share of expected goals 63.3%

Total expected goals1.96Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 31% · Poniżej 69%

Mladost Lucani0.72

Goście share of expected goals 36.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitTak 37% · Nie 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

IMT Novi Belgrade

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

Goście-context · form sequence

Mladost Lucani

1.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkty9

SignalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
9
1.24
Expected goals
0.72
IMT Novi BelgradeMladost Lucani
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IMT Novi Belgrade signalGospodarze matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mladost Lucani signalGospodarze clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

IMT Novi Belgrade vs Mladost Lucani FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IMT Novi Belgrade wygrana 43%,Remis 32%,Mladost Lucani wygrana 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.96 · Powyżej 2.5 31% · Current selection Poniżej