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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Match ·

Union La Calera vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger42%
Oavgjort29%
Bortaseger29%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union La CaleraLa Serena
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Över52% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
42% / 29% / 29%MatchresultatHemmaseger42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dubbelchans1271.5%1.40
Över 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Över52%1.92
Ja 56% · Nej 44%Båda lagen gör målJa56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union La Calera win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Oavgjort29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
La Serena win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union La Calera1.40

Hemma share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Över 52% · Under 48%

La Serena1.35

Borta share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nej 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Poäng6

SignalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.40
Expected goals
1.35
Union La CaleraLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union La Calera signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalHemma clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Union La Calera vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union La Calera vunnen 42%,Oavgjort 29%,La Serena vunnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Över 2.5 52% · Current selection Över