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INT Čile - Liga de Primera · Zápas ·

Union La Calera vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich42%
Remíza29%
Výhra hostí29%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union La CaleraLa Serena
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Viac52% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
42% / 29% / 29%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dvojitá šanca1271.5%1.40
Viac 52% · Menej 48%Goals 2.5Viac52%1.92
Áno 56% · Nie 44%Oba tímy skórujúÁno56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsPresné skóre1–1
10.2 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePredpoveďFérový kurzReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union La Calera win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Remíza29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
La Serena win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union La Calera1.40

Domáci share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Viac 52% · Menej 48%

La Serena1.35

Hostia share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitÁno 56% · Nie 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Body6

SignalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Výhra probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.40
Expected goals
1.35
Union La CaleraLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union La Calera signalDomáci matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalDomáci clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Union La Calera vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union La Calera výhra 42%,Remíza 29%,La Serena výhra 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Viac 2.5 52% · Current selection Viac