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FIN Fínsko - Veikkausliiga · Zápas ·

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Domáci form
Projected score2–23.99 expected goals
Hostia form
Výhra domácich39%
Remíza25%
Výhra hostí36%
Full model forecastVýhra domácichTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVýhra domácich39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.99Otvoriť match profile
Goals 2.5Viac76% for the selected side
Oba tímy skórujúÁno75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Viac 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketVýberPravdepodobnosťFérový kurz
39% / 25% / 36%Výsledok zápasuVýhra domácich39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Dvojitá šanca1275.3%1.33
Viac 76% · Menej 24%Goals 2.5Viac76%1.32
Áno 75% · Nie 25%Oba tímy skórujúÁno75%1.33
3.99 total expected goalsPresné skóre2–2
10.6 expected match cornersRohyViac 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFérový kurz
FC Ilves win39%2.56
Remíza25%4.00
HJK Helsinki win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves2.04

Domáci share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.99Otvoriť

Dedicated goals model: Viac 76% · Menej 24%

HJK Helsinki1.95

Hostia share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitÁno 75% · Nie 25%Match profileOtvoriť
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Domáci-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

0.80pts / match
Odohrané5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Body4

SignalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

Hostia-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

1.40pts / match
Odohrané5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Body7

SignalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Výhra probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.95
FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalDomáci matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalDomáci failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remíza probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Výhra domácich · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves výhra 39%,Remíza 25%,HJK Helsinki výhra 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Viac 2.5 76% · Current selection Viac