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FIN Finland Veikkausliiga · Trận đấu ·

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Chủ nhà form
Projected score2–23.99 expected goals
Khách form
Chủ nhà thắng39%
Hòa25%
Đội khách thắng36%
Full model forecastChủ nhà thắngTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callChủ nhà thắng39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.99Mở match profile
Goals 2.5Tài76% for the selected side
Cả hai đội ghi bàn75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Tài 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketLựa chọnXác suấtTỷ lệ công bằng
39% / 25% / 36%Kết quả trận đấuChủ nhà thắng39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Cơ hội kép1275.3%1.33
Tài 76% · Xỉu 24%Goals 2.5Tài76%1.32
Có 75% · Không 25%Cả hai đội ghi bàn75%1.33
3.99 total expected goalsTỷ số chính xác2–2
10.6 expected match cornersPhạt gócTài 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Không snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityTỷ lệ công bằng
FC Ilves win39%2.56
Hòa25%4.00
HJK Helsinki win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves2.04

Chủ nhà share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.99Mở

Dedicated goals model: Tài 76% · Xỉu 24%

HJK Helsinki1.95

Khách share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 75% · Không 25%Match profileMở
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Chủ nhà-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

0.80pts / match
Số trận5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Điểm4

SignalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

Khách-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

1.40pts / match
Số trận5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Điểm7

SignalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Thắng probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.95
FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalChủ nhà matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalChủ nhà failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Hòa probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Chủ nhà thắng · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves thắng 39%,Hòa 25%,HJK Helsinki thắng 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Tài 2.5 76% · Current selection Tài