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FIN Finlandia - Veikkausliiga · Mecz ·

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gospodarze form
Projected score2–23.99 expected goals
Goście form
Wygrana gospodarzy39%
Remis25%
Wygrana gości36%
Full model forecastWygrana gospodarzyTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callWygrana gospodarzy39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.99Otwarcie match profile
Goals 2.5Powyżej76% for the selected side
Obie drużyny strzeląTak75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Powyżej 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketWybórPrawdopodobieństwoUczciwy kurs
39% / 25% / 36%Wynik meczuWygrana gospodarzy39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Podwójna szansa1275.3%1.33
Powyżej 76% · Poniżej 24%Goals 2.5Powyżej76%1.32
Tak 75% · Nie 25%Obie drużyny strzeląTak75%1.33
3.99 total expected goalsDokładny wynik2–2
10.6 expected match cornersRożnePowyżej 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nie snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityUczciwy kurs
FC Ilves win39%2.56
Remis25%4.00
HJK Helsinki win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves2.04

Gospodarze share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.99Otwarcie

Dedicated goals model: Powyżej 76% · Poniżej 24%

HJK Helsinki1.95

Goście share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitTak 75% · Nie 25%Match profileOtwarcie
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gospodarze-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

0.80pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkty4

SignalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

Goście-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

1.40pts / match
Rozegrane5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkty7

SignalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Wygrana probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.95
FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalGospodarze matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalGospodarze failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Remis probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Wygrana gospodarzy · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves wygrana 39%,Remis 25%,HJK Helsinki wygrana 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Powyżej 2.5 76% · Current selection Powyżej