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FIN Finlandia - Veikkausliiga · Partido ·

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–23.99 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local39%
Empate25%
Victoria visitante36%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local39% selection probability
Projected score2–2FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Expected goals3.99Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Más de76% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan75% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
39% / 25% / 36%Resultado del partidoVictoria local39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doble Oportunidad1275.3%1.33
Más de 76% · Menos de 24%Goals 2.5Más de76%1.32
Sí 75% · No 25%Ambos equipos marcan75%1.33
3.99 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–2
10.6 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCuotas justas
FC Ilves win39%2.56
Empate25%4.00
HJK Helsinki win36%2.78

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Ilves2.04

Local share of expected goals 51.1%

Total expected goals3.99Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Más de 76% · Menos de 24%

HJK Helsinki1.95

Visitante share of expected goals 48.9%

Projected score2–2BTTS split 75% · No 25%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

FC Ilves

0.80pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puntos4

SignalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

HJK Helsinki

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Ganado probability excluding draw
36%
4
Points from supplied form
7
2.04
Expected goals
1.95
FC IlvesHJK Helsinki
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Ilves signalLocal matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02HJK Helsinki signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

FC Ilves vs HJK Helsinki FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–2 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Ilves ganada 39%,Empate 25%,HJK Helsinki ganada 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.99 · Más de 2.5 76% · Current selection Más de