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FIN Finlandia - Veikkausliiga · Partido ·

IFK Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Local form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Visitante form
Victoria local42%
Empate27%
Victoria visitante32%
Full model forecastVictoria localTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictoria local42% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK MariehamnFF Jaro
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Más de55% for the selected side
Ambos equipos marcan58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Más de 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecciónProbabilidadCuotas justas
42% / 27% / 32%Resultado del partidoVictoria local42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Doble Oportunidad1273.5%1.36
Más de 55% · Menos de 45%Goals 2.5Más de55%1.82
Sí 58% · No 42%Ambos equipos marcan58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsMarcador exacto2–1
10.2 expected match cornersCórnersMás de 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapFF Jaro winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomePronósticoCuotas justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Mariehamn win42%2.382.1542%0.0 pp
Empate27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FF Jaro win32%3.132.8831.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Mariehamn1.50

Local share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Más de 55% · Menos de 45%

FF Jaro1.37

Visitante share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS split 58% · No 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Local-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

1.40pts / match
Jugados5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Puntos7

SignalLocal failed to score: 2/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

FF Jaro

0.60pts / match
Jugados5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Puntos3

SignalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganado probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
1.37
IFK MariehamnFF Jaro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Mariehamn signalLocal failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FF Jaro signalVisitante matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

IFK Mariehamn vs FF Jaro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victoria local · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Mariehamn ganada 42%,Empate 27%,FF Jaro ganada 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Más de 2.5 55% · Current selection Más de