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FIN Финландия - Вейкауслига · Мач ·

Мариехам vs ФФ Яро

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен27%
Победа за госта32%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score2–1МариехамФФ Яро
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над55% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 27% / 32%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Двоен шанс1273.5%1.36
Над 55% · Под 45%Goals 2.5Над55%1.82
Да 58% · Не 42%И двата отбора да отбележатДа58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsТочен резултат2–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapФФ Яро winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Мариехам win42%2.382.1542%0.0 pp
Равен27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
ФФ Яро win32%3.132.8831.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Мариехам1.50

Домакин share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 55% · Под 45%

ФФ Яро1.37

Гост share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitДа 58% · Не 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Мариехам

1.40pts / match
Изиграни5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Точки7

SignalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

Гост-context · form sequence

ФФ Яро

0.60pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Точки3

SignalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
1.37
МариехамФФ Яро
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Мариехам signalДомакин failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02ФФ Яро signalГост matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Мариехам vs ФФ Яро FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Мариехам печеливш 42%,Равен 27%,ФФ Яро печеливш 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Над 2.5 55% · Current selection Над