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FIN Finland - Veikkausliiga · Wedstrijd ·

IFK Mariehamn vs FF Jaro

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score2–12.87 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel27%
Uitwinst32%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score2–1IFK MariehamnFF Jaro
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven55% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 27% / 32%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.5%)Dubbele Kans1273.5%1.36
Boven 55% · Onder 45%Goals 2.5Boven55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nee 42%Beide teams scorenJa58%1.72
2.87 total expected goalsExacte score2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin10.6%Largest probability gapFF Jaro winDifference+0.6 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
IFK Mariehamn win42%2.382.1542%0.0 pp
Gelijkspel27%3.703.4026.6%+0.4 pp
FF Jaro win32%3.132.8831.4%+0.6 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

IFK Mariehamn1.50

Thuis share of expected goals 52.3%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 55% · Onder 45%

FF Jaro1.37

Uit share of expected goals 47.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nee 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

IFK Mariehamn

1.40pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punten7

SignalThuis failed to score: 2/5

Uit-context · form sequence

FF Jaro

0.60pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punten3

SignalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
3
1.50
Expected goals
1.37
IFK MariehamnFF Jaro
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01IFK Mariehamn signalThuis failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FF Jaro signalUit matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

IFK Mariehamn vs FF Jaro FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 2–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

IFK Mariehamn gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 27%,FF Jaro gewonnen 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Boven 2.5 55% · Current selection Boven