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INT Chile - Liga de Primera · Partida ·

Unión La Calera vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa42%
Empate29%
Vitória visitante29%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Unión La CaleraLa Serena
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Acima52% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamSim56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
42% / 29% / 29%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dupla Chance1271.5%1.40
Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%Goals 2.5Acima52%1.92
Sim 56% · Não 44%Ambas as equipes marcamSim56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsPlacar exato1–1
10.2 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapUnión La Calera winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrevisãoOdds justasReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Unión La Calera win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Empate29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
La Serena win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Unión La Calera1.40

Mandante share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Acima 52% · Abaixo 48%

La Serena1.35

Visitante share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitSim 56% · Não 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

Unión La Calera

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Pontos6

SignalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.40
Expected goals
1.35
Unión La CaleraLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Unión La Calera signalMandante matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalMandante clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Unión La Calera vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Unión La Calera ganhou 42%,Empate 29%,La Serena ganhou 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Acima 2.5 52% · Current selection Acima