Market dashboard
Every available prediction
Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.
MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
42% / 29% / 29%Match resultHome win42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Double chance1271.5%1.40
Over 52% · Under 48%Goals 2.5Over52%1.92
Yes 56% · No 44%Both teams scoreYes56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsCorrect score1–1——
10.2 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5——
Price comparison
Published forecast vs reference market
Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.
Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeForecastFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union La Calera win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Draw29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
La Serena win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.
Scoring projection
Expected-goals split
Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.
Home share of expected goals 50.9%
Total expected goals2.75Balanced
Dedicated goals model: Over 52% · Under 48%
Away share of expected goals 49.1%
Projected score1–1BTTS splitYes 56% · No 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form
Five-result form summary
The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.
Home-context · form sequence
0.80pts / matchUnion La Calera
DLLWL
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4
SignalHome matches over 2.5: 4/5
Away-context · form sequence
1.20pts / matchLa Serena
DWDLD
Played5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Points6
SignalHome clean sheets: 2/5
Side-by-side
Current match outlookMatchup comparison
42%
Win probability excluding draw
29%4
Points from supplied form
61.40
Expected goals
1.35Union La CaleraLa Serena
Signals and risk
What supports — and challenges — the call
Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.
Model and market agree on HOME
This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.
This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.
This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.
The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 29%.
Match questions
Union La Calera vs La Serena FAQ
What is the current prediction?
Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.
What are the 1X2 probabilities?
Union La Calera win 42%，Draw 29%，La Serena win 29%。
Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?
Total expected goals 2.75 · Over 2.5 52% · Current selection Over。