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INT Chili - Liga de Primera · Wedstrijd ·

Union La Calera vs La Serena

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Thuis form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Uit form
Thuiswinst42%
Gelijkspel29%
Uitwinst29%
Full model forecastThuiswinstTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callThuiswinst42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Union La CaleraLa Serena
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Boven52% for the selected side
Beide teams scorenJa56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Boven 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectieWaarschijnlijkheidEerlijke odds
42% / 29% / 29%WedstrijdresultaatThuiswinst42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Dubbele Kans1271.5%1.40
Boven 52% · Onder 48%Goals 2.5Boven52%1.92
Ja 56% · Nee 44%Beide teams scorenJa56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsExacte score1–1
10.2 expected match cornersHoekschoppenBoven 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapUnion La Calera winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeVoorspellingEerlijke oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Union La Calera win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Gelijkspel29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
La Serena win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Union La Calera1.40

Thuis share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Boven 52% · Onder 48%

La Serena1.35

Uit share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 56% · Nee 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Thuis-context · form sequence

Union La Calera

0.80pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punten4

SignalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

Uit-context · form sequence

La Serena

1.20pts / match
Gespeeld5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punten6

SignalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewonnen probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.40
Expected goals
1.35
Union La CaleraLa Serena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Union La Calera signalThuis matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02La Serena signalThuis clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Gelijkspel probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Union La Calera vs La Serena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Thuiswinst · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Union La Calera gewonnen 42%,Gelijkspel 29%,La Serena gewonnen 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Boven 2.5 52% · Current selection Boven