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INT Чили - Лига де Примера · Мач ·

Унион Ла Калера vs Ла Серена

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Домакин form
Projected score1–12.75 expected goals
Гост form
Победа за домакина42%
Равен29%
Победа за госта29%
Full model forecastПобеда за домакинаTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callПобеда за домакина42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Унион Ла КалераЛа Серена
Expected goals2.75Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Над52% for the selected side
И двата отбора да отбележатДа56% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Над 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketИзборВероятностСправедлив коефициент
42% / 29% / 29%Резултат от мачаПобеда за домакина42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28.5%)Двоен шанс1271.5%1.40
Над 52% · Под 48%Goals 2.5Над52%1.92
Да 56% · Не 44%И двата отбора да отбележатДа56%1.79
2.75 total expected goalsТочен резултат1–1
10.2 expected match cornersКорнериНад 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.0%Largest probability gapУнион Ла Калера winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomeПрогнозаСправедлив коефициентReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Унион Ла Калера win42%2.382.1542.7%-0.7 pp
Равен29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp
Ла Серена win29%3.453.2028.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Унион Ла Калера1.40

Домакин share of expected goals 50.9%

Total expected goals2.75Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Над 52% · Под 48%

Ла Серена1.35

Гост share of expected goals 49.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitДа 56% · Не 44%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Домакин-context · form sequence

Унион Ла Калера

0.80pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Точки4

SignalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

Гост-context · form sequence

Ла Серена

1.20pts / match
Изиграни5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Точки6

SignalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Печеливш probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.40
Expected goals
1.35
Унион Ла КалераЛа Серена
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Унион Ла Калера signalДомакин matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ла Серена signalДомакин clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Равен probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Унион Ла Калера vs Ла Серена FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Победа за домакина · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Унион Ла Калера печеливш 42%,Равен 29%,Ла Серена печеливш 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.75 · Над 2.5 52% · Current selection Над