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LVA Lettland - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

RFS vs SC Grobinas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score3–03.21 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger75%
Oavgjort17%
Bortaseger7%
Full model forecastHemmasegerTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger75% selection probability
Projected score3–0RFSSC Grobinas
Expected goals3.21Öppna match profile
Goals 2.5Över62% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
75% / 17% / 7%MatchresultatHemmaseger75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Grobinas win (7.5%)Dubbelchans1X92.5%1.08
Över 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Över62%1.61
Ja 30% · Nej 70%Båda lagen gör målNej70%1.43
3.21 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–0
9.8 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityRättvist odds
RFS win75%1.33
Oavgjort17%5.88
SC Grobinas win7%14.29

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS2.83

Hemma share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals3.21Öppna

Dedicated goals model: Över 62% · Under 38%

SC Grobinas0.38

Borta share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 30% · Nej 70%Match profileÖppna
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

RFS

2.00pts / match
Spelade5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Poäng10

SignalHemma unbeaten 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

SC Grobinas

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.83
Expected goals
0.38
RFSSC Grobinas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalHemma unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Grobinas signalHemma matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

RFS vs SC Grobinas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 3–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS vunnen 75%,Oavgjort 17%,SC Grobinas vunnen 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Över 2.5 62% · Current selection Över