MatchFormula Find a match
Menu
UTC+8
Time zoneAsia/Shanghai
English
LVA Latvia Virsliga · Round 26 ·

RFS vs SC Grobinas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Home form
Projected score3–03.21 expected goals
Away form
Home win75%
Draw17%
Away win7%
Full model forecastHome winTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHome win75% selection probability
Projected score3–0RFSSC Grobinas
Expected goals3.21Open match profile
Goals 2.5Over62% for the selected side
Both teams scoreNo70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelectionProbabilityFair odds
75% / 17% / 7%Match resultHome win75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Grobinas win (7.3%)Double chance1X92.7%1.08
Over 62% · Under 38%Goals 2.5Over62%1.61
Yes 30% · No 70%Both teams scoreNo70%1.43
3.21 total expected goalsCorrect score3–0
9.8 expected match cornersCornersOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

No snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
RFS win75%1.33
Draw17%5.88
SC Grobinas win7%14.29

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS2.83

Home share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals3.21Open

Dedicated goals model: Over 62% · Under 38%

SC Grobinas0.38

Away share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitYes 30% · No 70%Match profileOpen
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Home-context · form sequence

RFS

2.00pts / match
Played5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Points10

SignalHome unbeaten 4/5

Away-context · form sequence

SC Grobinas

0.80pts / match
Played5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Points4

SignalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Win probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.83
Expected goals
0.38
RFSSC Grobinas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalHome unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Grobinas signalHome matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Draw probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

RFS vs SC Grobinas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Home win · Projected score 3–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS win 75%,Draw 17%,SC Grobinas win 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Over 2.5 62% · Current selection Over