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LVA Lettland - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

RFS vs SC Grobiņas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–03.21 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg75%
Unentschieden17%
Auswärtssieg7%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg75% selection probability
Projected score3–0RFSSC Grobiņas
Expected goals3.21Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
75% / 17% / 7%SpielergebnisHeimsieg75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Grobiņas win (7.3%)Doppelte Chance1X92.7%1.08
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 30% · Nein 70%Beide Teams treffenNein70%1.43
3.21 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–0
9.8 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
RFS win75%1.33
Unentschieden17%5.88
SC Grobiņas win7%14.29

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS2.83

Heim share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals3.21Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

SC Grobiņas0.38

Auswärts share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitJa 30% · Nein 70%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

RFS

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SC Grobiņas

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.83
Expected goals
0.38
RFSSC Grobiņas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Grobiņas signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

RFS vs SC Grobiņas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS Gewinn 75%,Unentschieden 17%,SC Grobiņas Gewinn 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über