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LVA Letónia - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

RFS vs Grobiņas SC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Mandante form
Projected score3–03.21 expected goals
Visitante form
Vitória da casa75%
Empate17%
Vitória visitante7%
Full model forecastVitória da casaTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVitória da casa75% selection probability
Projected score3–0RFSGrobiņas SC
Expected goals3.21Abrir match profile
Goals 2.5Acima62% for the selected side
Ambas as equipes marcamNão70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Acima 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSeleçãoProbabilidadeOdds justas
75% / 17% / 7%Resultado da partidaVitória da casa75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Grobiņas SC win (7.5%)Dupla Chance1X92.5%1.08
Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%Goals 2.5Acima62%1.61
Sim 30% · Não 70%Ambas as equipes marcamNão70%1.43
3.21 total expected goalsPlacar exato3–0
9.8 expected match cornersEscanteiosAcima 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Não snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityOdds justas
RFS win75%1.33
Empate17%5.88
Grobiņas SC win7%14.29

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS2.83

Mandante share of expected goals 88.2%

Total expected goals3.21Abrir

Dedicated goals model: Acima 62% · Abaixo 38%

Grobiņas SC0.38

Visitante share of expected goals 11.8%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitSim 30% · Não 70%Match profileAbrir
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Mandante-context · form sequence

RFS

2.00pts / match
Jogos5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Pontos10

SignalMandante unbeaten 4/5

Visitante-context · form sequence

Grobiņas SC

0.80pts / match
Jogos5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Pontos4

SignalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Ganhou probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.83
Expected goals
0.38
RFSGrobiņas SC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalMandante unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Grobiņas SC signalMandante matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Empate probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

RFS vs Grobiņas SC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Vitória da casa · Projected score 3–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS ganhou 75%,Empate 17%,Grobiņas SC ganhou 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Acima 2.5 62% · Current selection Acima