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LVA Letonia - Virsliga · Round 26 ·

RFS vs SC Grobinas

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Gazde form
Projected score3–03.20 expected goals
Oaspeți form
Victorie gazde75%
Egal17%
Victorie oaspeți7%
Full model forecastVictorie gazdeTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callVictorie gazde75% selection probability
Projected score3–0RFSSC Grobinas
Expected goals3.20Deschide match profile
Goals 2.5Peste62% for the selected side
Ambele echipe marcheazăNu70% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Peste 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketSelecțieProbabilitateCotă corectă
75% / 17% / 7%Rezultatul meciuluiVictorie gazde75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes SC Grobinas win (7.5%)Șansă dublă1X92.5%1.08
Peste 62% · Sub 38%Goals 2.5Peste62%1.61
Da 30% · Nu 70%Ambele echipe marcheazăNu70%1.43
3.20 total expected goalsScor corect3–0
9.8 expected match cornersCornerePeste 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nu snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityCotă corectă
RFS win75%1.33
Egal17%5.88
SC Grobinas win7%14.29

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

RFS2.82

Gazde share of expected goals 88.1%

Total expected goals3.20Deschide

Dedicated goals model: Peste 62% · Sub 38%

SC Grobinas0.38

Oaspeți share of expected goals 11.9%

Projected score3–0BTTS splitDa 30% · Nu 70%Match profileDeschide
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Gazde-context · form sequence

RFS

2.00pts / match
Jucate5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Puncte10

SignalGazde unbeaten 4/5

Oaspeți-context · form sequence

SC Grobinas

0.80pts / match
Jucate5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Puncte4

SignalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Câștig probability excluding draw
7%
10
Points from supplied form
4
2.82
Expected goals
0.38
RFSSC Grobinas
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01RFS signalGazde unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Grobinas signalGazde matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Egal probability alone is 17%.

Match questions

RFS vs SC Grobinas FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Victorie gazde · Projected score 3–0 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

RFS câștig 75%,Egal 17%,SC Grobinas câștig 7%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.20 · Peste 2.5 62% · Current selection Peste