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INT Portugal - Liga 3 · Match ·

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hemma form
Projected score1–12.30 expected goals
Borta form
Hemmaseger53%
Oavgjort27%
Bortaseger20%
Market-based forecastHemmasegerTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHemmaseger53% selection probability
Projected score1–1CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Expected goals2.30Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under59% for the selected side
Båda lagen gör målNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Över 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValSannolikhetRättvist odds
53% / 27% / 20%MatchresultatHemmaseger53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes GD Vitoria de Sernache win (20%)Dubbelchans1X80%1.25
Över 41% · Under 59%Goals 2.5Under59%1.69
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Båda lagen gör målNej54%1.85
2.30 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.7 expected match cornersHörnorÖver 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognosRättvist oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CD Mafra win53%1.891.6554.6%
Oavgjort27%3.703.4026.5%
GD Vitoria de Sernache win20%5.004.7519%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CD Mafra1.43

Hemma share of expected goals 62.2%

Total expected goals2.30Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Över 41% · Under 59%

GD Vitoria de Sernache0.87

Borta share of expected goals 37.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hemma-context · form sequence

CD Mafra

0.80pts / match
Spelade5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Poäng4

SignalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

Borta-context · form sequence

GD Vitoria de Sernache

0.00pts / match
Spelade0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Poäng0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
53%
Vunnen probability excluding draw
20%
4
Points from supplied form
0
1.43
Expected goals
0.87
CD MafraGD Vitoria de Sernache
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CD Mafra signalHemma matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02GD Vitoria de Sernache signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Oavgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

CD Mafra vs GD Vitoria de Sernache FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hemmaseger · Projected score 1–1 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CD Mafra vunnen 53%,Oavgjort 27%,GD Vitoria de Sernache vunnen 20%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.30 · Över 2.5 41% · Current selection Under